Jerome Burke Receives 2025 Larry D. Welch Award for
Best External Publication
ALEXANDRIA, Va. (July 2025) — Jerome “Jerry” Burke received the 2025 Larry D. Welch
Award for Best External Publication for “Analogous Response Redux: Vladimir Putin's
Aspirations for Altering the Maritime Balance.” The article was published by the Naval War
College Press in 2024.
Burke’s paper examines Russian national security and maritime doctrine, policies and public
statements, and ongoing Russian naval programs in the context of the return of the Analogous
Response strategy of the 1980s.
“I am deeply impressed with the quality and thoroughness of Jerry’s work. This study
exemplifies General Welch’s high standards of analytic excellence and relevance,” said IDA
President Norty Schwartz.
Analogous Response was a term American strategists and intelligence analysts developed in
late 1983 and early 1984 to characterize a Soviet maritime strategy of deploying submarines
armed with nuclear sea-launched cruise missiles off the U.S. coast. Russian President Vladimir
Putin is at present reprising that Soviet era strategy. Burke’s research has been published as a
Newport Paper — a book-length research project that Naval War College leadership considers
to be of particular interest to policy makers, scholars and analysts.
Burke joined IDA in 2008 and currently serves as an Adjunct Research Staff Member in the
Global Dynamics and Intelligence Division. His fields of expertise include intelligence planning
operations and assessments; forces and strategy assessments; combatant command planning
and analytical support; and resource and support analysis. He holds a master’s degree in
national security studies from Georgetown University and a bachelor’s degree in classics,
biology and psychology from the College of the Holy Cross.
IDA established the Welch award in 2011 in honor of retired U.S. Air Force General Larry D.
Welch, who was IDA’s president from 1990 to 2003 and again from 2006 to 2009.
IDA is a nonprofit corporation that operates three federally funded research and development
centers in the public interest. IDA answers the most challenging U.S. security and science policy
questions with objective analysis leveraging extraordinary scientific, technical and analytic
expertise.
