CSIS:美国政府如何保护商业卫星免受威胁?(2025) 16页

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时间:2025-08-27

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AUGUST 2025
How Can the U.S.
Government Safeguard
Commercial Satellites
from Threats?
By Clayton Swope
Introduction
Though the Founding Fathers could not have anticipated today’s global security landscape, they
did navigate a complex threat environment with similarities to the twenty-rst century. The young
United States emerged in a world where state and nonstate actors posed security risks to U.S.
commercial and civilian interests both domestically and abroad, leaving a long-lasting impact on U.S.
defense policymaking. In the centuries since, in peacetime and war, the United States has repeatedly
demonstrated its resolve to protect and safeguard its national equities—its people, territory, economic
interests, and national infrastructure—using its combined military power and civil capabilities. There
should be no doubt that those imperatives to protect and defend extend into space, no more or less
than they extend into other areas beyond U.S. national borders, such as the high seas.
As of 2025, there are around 10,000 active satellites orbiting the Earth, with the preponderance
privately owned. Moreover, over 7,000 satellites are owned and operated by a single U.S. company
SpaceX. Over the next ve years, the number of satellites in orbit will likely skyrocket, with tens
of thousands of additional satellites—mainly for satellite communications—launched primarily by
companies from the United States and China. As the number of satellites in orbits grows, so do the
threats they face. The sharp growth in the number of satellites owned and operated by the private
sector creates challenges as to how the U.S. government can best protect and defend private sector
equities in space.
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本文围绕美国政府如何保护商业卫星免受威胁展开。当前约1万颗现役卫星大多为私有,未来五年数量将激增,威胁也随之增加。美国政府虽有保护商业太空系统的框架和政策,但可做的还有很多。 文中指出,卫星面临多种威胁,包括动能、非动能、射频电子武器和网络攻击。美国商业卫星面临诸多风险,一些源于恶意行为,如俄罗斯曾警告将打击支持美军的商业卫星。美国政府应借鉴历史经验,保护商业卫星。历史上,美国海军保护海上贸易,政府采取多种措施保护关键基础设施,还提供战争风险保险。 面对当前威胁,美国政府可从三方面着手:明确对卫星威胁的威慑和应对措施;利用保护关键基础设施的资源,帮助卫星运营商保护资产;考虑通过保险等机制,补偿卫星运营商因敌对行动造成的损失。总之,保护商业卫星需要政府和行业密切合作。

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