RAND:将准备就绪因素纳入事故分类和分析(2025) 29页

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时间:2025-10-15

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ANNA JEAN WIRTH, TOM LaTOURRETTE, PEYTON MILLER, DULANI WOODS, TIM CONLEY
Incorporating Readiness
Considerations into Mishap
Classification and Analysis
W
orkplace accidents that result in injury or property damage have several negative
impacts on organizations. These impacts include the costs associated with medical care,
equipment repair, and extra personnel to replace injured workers; negative reputational
impacts of failing to keep workers safe, such as competitive disadvantage and lower
worker morale; and decreased productivity and profit (e.g., Boden, Biddle, and Spieler, 2001; Kabir,
KEY FINDINGS AND RECOMMENDATIONS
The safety community views mishap cost as being deficient at conveying the severity of a
mishap because of the strong relationship between mishap cost and the overall cost of the
equipment involved.
The data collected on mishaps do not support understanding the readiness impact of mis-
haps because they lack the operational context.
The Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for Force Safety and Occupational Health (FSOH)
should consider augmenting mishap data to support contextualizing mishaps with readiness
impact and use this additional information to augment ongoing mishap trend analysis.
If minimizing the level of effort for data integration is essential, FSOH should consider augment-
ing mishap data with fields that identify the criticality of equipment and personnel involved.
If a more nuanced analysis of potential readiness trends resulting from mishaps is desired,
FSOH should consider augmenting mishap data with fields that allow the computation of
changes in readiness metrics in the Defense Readiness Reporting System.
Because of the implementation challenges and potential cost implications of augmenting
mishap data, FSOH should consider a pilot analysis that assembles mishap data with the
additional data needed to estimate the readiness impact of mishaps to further evaluate the
feasibility and analytic benefit of making such an investment.
If incorporating the readiness impact within the existing mishap classification structure is a
long-term goal, FSOH should first incorporate measures that capture the readiness impact of
mishaps and use those data to assess the potential increase in the investigation and report-
ing burden on the services as various thresholds for the readiness impact are considered.
Research Report
资源描述:

【RAND Corporation】【2025年】发布《Incorporating Readiness Considerations into Mishap Classification and Analysis》;该文件的目的是:针对美国国防部(DoD)事故报告分类系统未明确关联战备影响的问题,探讨事故与战备的联系,提出能更好捕捉事故对战备影响的事故数据收集及分类方案。该文件内容包括:一是指出DoD现有事故按成本和人员受伤严重程度分为Classes A-D,存在成本衡量缺陷(受装备成本驱动)、缺乏作战背景数据无法理解战备影响等问题;二是构建事故结果与单位战备映射框架,提出关联Defense Readiness Reporting System(DRRS)战备变化、计算战备指标最大变化、识别涉及关键资源的事故三种量化事故战备影响的方法;三是分析将战备因素纳入事故分析和分类的实施挑战,包括数据整合难度、分类变化的历史可比性问题及服务调查负担增加等。该文件的结论是:DoD现有系统无法有效捕捉事故对战备的影响,将战备因素直接纳入现有分类方案存在重大实施挑战,而通过扩充Force Risk Reduction(FR2)等事故数据系统加入战备相关字段,可支持识别影响战备的事故趋势。该文件建议:一是FSOH考虑扩充FR2数据(若需最小化数据整合工作量,可添加涉及设备和人员的关键性子段;若需更细致分析战备趋势,可添加能估算DRRS人员(P-level)和装备(R-level)战备指标影响的字段);二是开展试点分析,整合FR2与服务级数据评估可行性和分析收益;三是若长期目标是将战备影响纳入现有分类结构,需先收集战备影响数据,评估不同战备影响阈值下对服务调查和报告负担的潜在增加。

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